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Red26
285514.4
420712.3
78498.2
Blue52
25132.7
472830.3
250013.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445401001502002652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2855
#28
14.41.0
16.615.6
Auto8.0
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 15.9
4728
#10
30.30.3
29.930.2
Auto9.8
Teleop18.2
End2.3
Second
4207
#26
12.31.0
14.313.3
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 1.1
2500
#29
13.40.3
13.714.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.1
End0.5
Third
7849
#33
8.21.0
9.98.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
red by 5.5
2513
#24
2.70.3
4.14.4
Auto1.8
Teleop0.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed