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Red31
205217.3
181623.6
701911.1
Blue64
318424.2
22399.0
253029.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6378020401001201403164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.61.8
23.121.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.3
End0.2
blue by 6.3
29.80.3
32.632.3
Auto11.4
Teleop16.7
End1.7
Second
2052
#23
17.31.8
19.918.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End1.0
blue by 6.9
3184
#14
24.20.3
27.026.7
Auto10.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Third
7019
#27
11.12.0
15.413.4
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End1.0
red by 2.0
2239
#25
9.00.3
9.18.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed