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Red55
78498.2
218119.2
614736.8
Blue51
485915.2
87874.4
22399.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7926040601001201401605551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.7
35.634.9
Auto12.5
Teleop17.4
End6.8
red by 21.6
4859
#21
15.20.3
15.515.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
Second
19.20.7
20.519.8
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End1.0
red by 10.2
2239
#25
9.00.3
9.39.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End2.0
Third
7849
#33
8.20.7
8.98.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
red by 3.8
8787
#22
4.40.3
4.74.4
Auto2.8
Teleop1.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned