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Red20
21774.6
285514.4
604515.3
Blue48
308215.7
250218.2
420712.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3956020801002048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#30
15.31.2
16.014.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 2.8
18.20.8
18.918.1
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
2855
#28
14.41.2
15.614.4
Auto8.0
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 1.2
3082
#16
15.70.8
16.515.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Third
2177
#32
4.61.2
5.84.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.1
End1.6
blue by 7.7
4207
#26
12.30.8
13.112.3
Auto6.9
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned