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Red46
22277.4
701911.1
212929.2
Blue53
181623.6
26060.9
284616.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5741020801001204653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#12
29.20.2
30.630.4
Auto10.6
Teleop16.8
End1.8
red by 5.7
23.60.9
23.824.7
Auto7.1
Teleop16.3
End0.2
Second
7019
#27
11.10.2
11.311.1
Auto6.1
Teleop3.9
End1.0
blue by 5.2
2846
#13
16.30.9
15.316.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
2227
#31
7.40.2
7.77.4
Auto6.0
Teleop0.8
End0.6
red by 6.5
2606
#34
0.90.9
-0.00.9
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed