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Red102
472836.6
329324.2
423918.2
Blue50
329716.3
247028.9
423033.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions799905015020010250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.4
31.332.7
Auto12.8
Teleop20.1
End3.6
red by 3.2
4230
#26
33.42.5
38.536.0
Auto10.2
Teleop20.9
End2.3
Second
24.21.6
23.625.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2
blue by 4.7
2470
#16
28.92.5
28.626.1
Auto8.2
Teleop18.1
End2.6
Third
4239
#24
18.21.4
18.920.3
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
red by 1.9
3297
#33
16.32.5
20.317.8
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned63%Ensemble oddsEarned