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Red62
327718.5
205226.6
614629.8
Blue102
253034.5
301822.3
614739.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889805015020025062102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.9
25.023.1
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End2.9
blue by 9.2
39.00.7
34.435.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.8
End7.4
Second
2052
#18
26.61.9
33.331.4
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.4
blue by 7.9
2530
#14
34.50.7
33.934.5
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End1.9
Third
3277
#35
18.51.9
22.220.3
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End1.9
blue by 3.8
22.30.7
18.919.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed83%Ensemble oddsEarned