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Red46
604521.6
563821.8
181629.9
Blue98
534824.5
363023.1
569025.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978040601201404698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#20
29.92.6
37.835.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 4.3
25.60.3
23.323.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Second
5638
#21
21.82.6
22.720.0
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 2.6
5348
#12
24.50.3
24.224.5
Auto9.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Third
6045
#28
21.62.6
25.022.4
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 1.5
3630
#23
23.10.3
27.027.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed