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Red65
253119.2
974513.0
472836.6
Blue44
329324.2
313417.4
282326.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7978506070901006544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.4
32.732.3
Auto12.8
Teleop20.1
End3.6
red by 9.8
2823
#30
26.71.8
29.427.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End0.9
Second
2531
#22
19.20.4
19.419.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End1.8
blue by 5.0
24.21.8
25.223.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2
Third
9745
#27
13.00.5
19.018.6
Auto9.3
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 4.3
3134
#32
17.41.8
16.814.9
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed