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Red89
974513.0
614739.0
534824.5
Blue85
329716.3
282326.7
212935.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions839202003004005008985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.9
36.237.1
Auto11.8
Teleop19.8
End7.4
red by 3.2
2129
#15
35.80.1
37.737.8
Auto12.7
Teleop21.3
End1.8
Second
5348
#12
24.50.9
24.525.4
Auto9.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
blue by 2.3
2823
#30
26.70.1
27.627.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End0.9
Third
9745
#27
13.00.9
15.015.9
Auto9.3
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 3.2
3297
#33
16.30.1
16.516.6
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsMissed