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Red89
423033.4
310222.8
604521.6
Blue99
725728.1
614629.8
569025.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86770501001508999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#26
33.40.8
34.635.5
Auto10.2
Teleop20.9
End2.3
red by 3.6
29.80.7
22.122.8
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End2.9
Second
3102
#13
22.80.8
19.920.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End2.7
blue by 5.3
28.10.7
24.825.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.4
Third
6045
#28
21.60.8
22.223.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 4.0
25.60.7
23.624.3
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned