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Red50
423918.2
318430.1
297711.2
Blue95
301822.3
329324.2
517226.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63770501001502005095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#17
30.10.6
25.324.8
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End5.1
red by 4.0
5172
#19
26.11.5
25.727.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End1.9
Second
4239
#24
18.20.6
20.119.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 6.1
24.21.5
23.424.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2
Third
2977
#31
11.20.6
13.012.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 11.1
22.31.5
18.820.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned83%Ensemble oddsEarned