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Qual 332024 Minnesota State High School League Championship
Red118
614629.8
453928.9
472836.6
Blue73
957619.1
318430.1
327718.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936605015011873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
#9
36.62.4
33.1→35.5
Auto12.8
Teleop20.1
End3.6
red by 6.5
3184
#17
30.10.3
24.8→25.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End5.1
Second
6146
#3
29.82.4
22.8→25.3
Auto8.7
Teleop18.2
End2.9
red by 10.8
9576
#29
19.10.3
20.0→20.3
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
4539
#11
28.92.4
25.4→27.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End3.5
red by 10.4
3277
#35
18.50.3
18.5→18.9
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned41%Ensemble oddsMissed