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Red47
604521.6
329716.3
313417.4
Blue42
779719.1
247028.9
523217.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5873020401001201401604742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#28
21.60.5
23.022.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 7.3
2470
#16
28.91.5
26.925.4
Auto8.2
Teleop18.1
End2.6
Second
3134
#32
17.40.5
15.014.5
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 1.7
7797
#25
19.11.5
18.617.1
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
Third
3297
#33
16.30.5
16.616.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End5.3
blue by 0.9
5232
#34
17.21.5
19.217.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed