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Red98
327641.6
363023.1
517226.1
Blue106
614739.0
563821.8
313417.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147105010015020098106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.0
45.244.2
Auto11.0
Teleop25.4
End5.2
red by 2.6
39.02.5
36.138.6
Auto11.8
Teleop19.8
End7.4
Second
5172
#19
26.11.0
26.425.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End1.9
red by 4.2
5638
#21
21.82.5
18.520.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Third
3630
#23
23.11.0
26.525.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
red by 5.8
3134
#32
17.42.5
14.517.0
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned27%Ensemble oddsEarned