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Red54
297711.2
310222.8
329716.3
Blue92
205226.6
181629.9
423033.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4811401001502005492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#13
22.80.2
21.721.9
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End2.7
blue by 10.6
4230
#26
33.40.2
36.035.8
Auto10.2
Teleop20.9
End2.3
Second
3297
#33
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End5.3
blue by 13.6
1816
#20
29.90.2
30.129.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Third
2977
#31
11.20.2
13.313.5
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 15.4
2052
#18
26.60.2
29.429.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned45%Ensemble oddsMissed