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Red132
453928.9
460738.3
318430.1
Blue41
604521.6
543416.1
253119.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076105015020013241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.31.9
36.438.3
Auto12.2
Teleop21.9
End4.2
red by 16.7
6045
#28
21.61.3
22.521.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Second
3184
#17
30.11.9
28.230.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End5.1
red by 10.8
2531
#22
19.21.3
20.519.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Third
4539
#11
28.91.9
27.028.9
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End3.5
red by 12.8
5434
#36
16.11.3
17.416.1
Auto7.4
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed