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Red99
614739.0
569025.6
329324.2
Blue91
523217.2
249127.4
725728.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100740501509991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.4
38.639.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.8
End7.4
red by 10.9
28.10.7
27.428.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.4
Second
25.60.4
25.225.6
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
blue by 1.8
2491
#10
27.40.7
26.327.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
Third
24.20.4
23.524.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2
red by 7.0
5232
#34
17.20.7
16.517.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
81%Ensemble oddsEarned40%Ensemble oddsEarned