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Red78
313417.4
301822.3
247028.9
Blue90
181629.9
212935.8
957619.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71980501502002507890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#16
28.90.4
28.528.9
Auto8.2
Teleop18.1
End2.6
blue by 6.9
2129
#15
35.80.0
36.136.1
Auto12.7
Teleop21.3
End1.8
Second
22.30.4
21.622.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End3.3
blue by 7.6
1816
#20
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
Third
3134
#32
17.40.4
17.017.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
blue by 1.7
9576
#29
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto8.9
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed