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Red53
205226.6
297711.2
327641.6
Blue46
974513.0
423033.4
363023.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988302040601201401605346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.62.3
44.241.9
Auto11.0
Teleop25.4
End5.2
red by 8.2
4230
#26
33.42.4
35.833.4
Auto10.2
Teleop20.9
End2.3
Second
2052
#18
26.62.3
29.126.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.1
End2.4
red by 3.5
3630
#23
23.12.4
25.523.1
Auto9.7
Teleop12.1
End1.3
Third
2977
#31
11.22.3
13.511.2
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 1.8
9745
#27
13.02.4
15.413.0
Auto9.3
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed