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Red60
563821.8
329716.3
779719.1
Blue101
253034.5
453928.9
329324.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710605015020025060101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5638
#21
21.80.4
23.923.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.3
End2.9
blue by 12.7
2530
#14
34.50.4
34.133.8
Auto12.5
Teleop20.2
End1.9
Second
7797
#25
19.10.4
18.618.2
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End2.6
blue by 9.8
4539
#11
28.90.4
31.130.7
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End3.5
Third
3297
#33
16.30.3
22.422.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.2
End5.3
blue by 8.0
24.20.5
26.325.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned90%Ensemble oddsEarned