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Red95
181629.9
569025.6
249127.4
Blue61
327718.5
313417.4
253119.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109590501001509561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#20
29.90.2
39.138.9
Auto10.1
Teleop19.1
End0.7
red by 10.7
2531
#22
19.20.1
19.519.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Second
2491
#10
27.40.2
29.229.0
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End3.1
red by 8.9
3277
#35
18.50.1
22.122.2
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End1.9
Third
25.60.2
24.324.1
Auto10.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
red by 8.2
3134
#32
17.40.1
17.717.8
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed