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Red104
170645.4
752520.8
940130.0
Blue43
642431.6
71176.5
432919.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135920408010014016010443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.0
45.345.2
Auto12.7
Teleop27.5
End5.2
red by 13.8
31.60.4
32.231.8
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Second
30.00.0
29.929.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 10.1
4329
#15
19.90.4
20.520.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Third
7525
#20
20.80.0
20.720.6
Auto10.2
Teleop8.8
End1.8
red by 14.3
7117
#18
6.50.4
7.16.7
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End1.9