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Red51
99969.5
425612.4
120826.6
Blue74
642431.6
71176.5
432919.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51670204060801005174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#14
26.60.1
26.526.6
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End0.5
blue by 5.0
31.60.3
31.832.2
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Second
4256
#12
12.40.1
12.312.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.2
blue by 7.5
4329
#15
19.90.3
20.220.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Third
9996
#13
9.50.1
9.49.5
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.2
red by 3.0
7117
#18
6.50.3
6.77.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End1.9