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Red46
170645.4
99971.5
433010.4
Blue61
752520.8
940130.0
639120.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68880204060801001201404661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.5
47.345.9
Auto12.7
Teleop27.5
End5.2
red by 15.4
30.01.7
30.829.1
Auto12.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
Second
4330
#24
10.41.5
13.111.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 10.4
7525
#20
20.81.7
24.923.2
Auto10.2
Teleop8.8
End1.8
Third
9997
#25
1.52.5
5.83.3
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.3
End0.3
blue by 19.2
20.61.7
21.419.7
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned