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Red32
71176.5
132911.3
33979.2
Blue46
99918.5
297811.1
74967.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352101030405060703246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1329
#26
11.30.6
11.510.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.2
red by 0.2
11.11.1
11.612.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Second
3397
#22
9.20.6
10.09.3
Auto7.3
Teleop1.5
End0.3
red by 0.7
9991
#21Sur
8.51.9
6.78.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Third
7117
#18Sur
6.50.6
7.87.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End1.9
blue by 0.6
7.11.1
5.56.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned