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Red61
99969.5
120826.6
450022.4
Blue41
68173.9
432919.9
807712.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693802060801001206141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#14
26.60.2
26.626.8
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End0.5
red by 6.7
4329
#15
19.90.1
20.720.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Second
4500
#11
22.40.2
24.424.5
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
red by 10.3
8077
#17
12.10.1
11.411.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
9996
#13Sur
9.50.3
7.67.9
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.2
red by 5.6
6817
#23Sur
3.90.1
5.35.4
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed