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Red71
639120.6
170645.4
87194.9
Blue9
425612.4
128813.4
806916.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions855502040100120140719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.1
47.547.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.5
End5.2
red by 29.2
8069
#10
16.23.1
18.115.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
20.60.1
21.621.4
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.1
red by 7.2
1288
#19
13.43.1
17.814.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Third
4.90.1
4.14.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.1
End1.1
blue by 7.5
4256
#12
12.43.1
17.414.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
65%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed