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Red18
71176.5
433010.4
297811.1
Blue68
99969.5
170645.4
432919.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27910204060801001201401868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.11.2
12.711.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 34.3
45.40.6
45.945.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.5
End5.2
Second
4330
#24
10.41.2
11.710.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 9.5
4329
#15
19.90.6
20.820.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Third
7117
#18
6.51.2
7.26.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End1.9
blue by 3.0
9996
#13
9.51.0
7.96.9
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed