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Red62
74967.1
674413.8
940130.0
Blue32
752520.8
450022.4
425612.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52710204060801001201401606232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.9
29.129.9
Auto12.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 7.6
4500
#11
22.42.5
24.522.1
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
Second
13.80.9
13.414.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End1.1
blue by 7.0
7525
#20
20.82.5
23.220.7
Auto10.2
Teleop8.8
End1.8
Third
7.10.9
6.67.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 5.3
4256
#12
12.42.5
14.111.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed