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Red52
807712.1
639120.6
747213.0
Blue35
99971.5
414328.6
132911.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484720304060705235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.3
19.720.0
Auto10.8
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 8.0
28.60.6
29.729.1
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
7472
#16
13.00.3
11.812.0
Auto6.9
Teleop4.1
End2.0
red by 1.7
1329
#26
11.30.6
10.910.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.2
Third
8077
#17
12.10.3
11.511.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End2.5
red by 10.6
9997
#25
1.51.0
3.32.3
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed