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Red20
128813.4
68173.9
99918.5
Blue62
642431.6
99969.5
71176.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235304060801002062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#19
13.40.7
14.513.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.0
blue by 18.2
31.60.9
31.132.0
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Second
9991
#21
8.51.1
9.07.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 1.0
9996
#13
9.51.4
6.98.4
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.2
Third
6817
#23
3.90.7
4.63.9
Auto2.0
Teleop1.2
End0.7
blue by 2.6
7117
#18
6.50.9
6.06.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed