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Red36
99971.5
414328.6
674413.8
Blue62
120826.6
425612.4
99969.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515020304060703662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.2
29.128.9
Auto11.6
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 2.0
1208
#14
26.60.2
25.926.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End0.5
Second
13.80.2
14.314.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.5
End1.1
red by 1.4
4256
#12
12.40.2
11.711.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Third
9997
#25
1.50.4
2.32.0
Auto1.1
Teleop-0.3
End0.3
blue by 8.0
9996
#13
9.50.3
8.48.6
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.2