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Red62
807712.1
99918.5
450022.4
Blue57
806916.2
747213.0
132911.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444320304050606257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4500
#11
22.40.4
22.222.6
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End1.1
red by 6.2
8069
#10
16.20.4
15.816.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Second
8077
#17
12.10.4
11.812.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End2.5
blue by 0.9
7472
#16
13.00.4
12.613.0
Auto6.9
Teleop4.1
End2.0
Third
9991
#21
8.50.7
8.18.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 2.8
1329
#26
11.30.4
10.911.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.1
End0.2