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Red57
99969.5
425612.4
120826.6
Blue45
642431.6
71176.5
432919.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49680204060801001205745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#14
26.60.0
26.126.1
Auto8.4
Teleop17.7
End0.5
blue by 5.0
31.60.3
32.031.7
Auto9.8
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Second
4256
#12
12.40.0
11.811.9
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End0.2
blue by 7.5
4329
#15
19.90.3
20.320.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End2.1
Third
9996
#13
9.50.0
8.68.6
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.2
red by 3.0
7117
#18
6.50.3
6.96.6
Auto3.6
Teleop1.0
End1.9