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Red73
96268.9
245720.4
580133.7
Blue28
495914.3
20017.7
545420.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6037020801001207328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#13
33.70.7
26.627.4
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End1.4
red by 13.6
5454
#19
20.11.2
18.817.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
Second
2457
#12
20.40.7
13.714.4
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 6.1
4959
#22
14.31.2
9.17.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Third
9626
#38
8.91.2
11.512.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
red by 1.2
2001
#39
7.72.1
8.66.5
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned