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Red44
182519.0
93169.1
181015.4
Blue84
193917.5
110829.1
753117.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504630406070804484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#14
19.00.3
15.015.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 10.1
29.12.0
23.125.1
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Second
1810
#23
15.40.3
12.412.7
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
blue by 2.1
1939
#16
17.51.8
6.98.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
9316
#36
9.10.3
13.814.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End0.2
blue by 7.9
7531
#24
17.02.0
15.117.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed