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Red42
512620.9
44557.6
96268.9
Blue79
545420.1
580133.7
234515.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406902060801001204279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#30
20.90.2
18.218.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
blue by 12.8
5801
#13
33.71.3
27.428.7
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End1.4
Second
9626
#38
8.90.3
12.712.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
blue by 11.2
5454
#19
20.11.3
17.618.9
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
Third
4455
#34
7.60.2
9.08.8
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 8.1
2345
#27
15.81.3
14.415.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed