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Red96
476633.5
580932.6
421315.0
Blue61
93169.1
110829.1
245720.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645901001502002503003504009661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.51.9
25.627.5
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
red by 4.3
29.10.5
25.125.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Second
32.61.9
22.424.3
Auto8.0
Teleop22.6
End1.9
red by 12.1
2457
#12
20.40.5
14.414.9
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
4213
#15
15.01.9
9.511.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
red by 5.9
9316
#36
9.10.8
14.114.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed