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Red59
176425.0
20017.7
193917.5
Blue47
172315.0
199715.8
177512.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393602060801005947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.9
20.020.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 9.2
1997
#21
15.80.5
10.711.2
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Second
1939
#16
17.50.9
8.79.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End1.6
red by 2.6
1723
#26
15.00.5
12.412.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
2001
#39
7.71.5
6.58.0
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 4.5
1775
#35
12.20.5
10.010.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed