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Red46
176914.6
882523.2
182519.0
Blue45
706414.1
941026.1
176310.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801004645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8825
#18
23.20.2
17.417.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
blue by 2.9
26.10.8
17.117.9
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
1825
#14
19.00.4
15.314.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 4.8
7064
#32
14.11.1
9.710.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Third
1769
#17
14.60.2
11.911.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 4.6
1763
#29
10.00.7
7.98.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed