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Red98
495914.3
452234.6
235734.9
Blue28
180211.6
81123.3
509816.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions862902040601001201401609828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.5
31.132.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End4.4
red by 18.3
5098
#11
16.60.3
10.610.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Second
34.61.5
32.233.7
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
red by 22.9
1802
#41
11.60.6
13.613.0
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Third
4959
#22
14.31.5
7.99.3
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 11.0
8112
#40
3.30.6
8.98.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed