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Red86
882523.2
235734.9
176425.0
Blue22
680513.9
545420.1
81123.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8438020601001201401608622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.0
32.633.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.7
End4.4
red by 14.7
5454
#19
20.11.5
18.917.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
Second
25.01.0
20.921.9
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End2.2
red by 11.0
6805
#37
13.91.5
12.811.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.1
Third
8825
#18
23.21.0
17.218.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 19.9
8112
#40
3.32.6
8.45.8
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed