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Red47
182519.0
68438.2
580133.7
Blue27
452234.6
180211.6
181015.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57702040801004727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#13
33.70.4
28.728.3
Auto12.4
Teleop19.9
End1.4
blue by 0.9
34.62.5
33.731.2
Auto12.3
Teleop18.4
End3.9
Second
1825
#14
19.00.7
14.914.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 3.6
1810
#23
15.44.1
15.111.0
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Third
6843
#31
8.20.7
9.89.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 3.5
1802
#41
11.64.1
13.08.9
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed