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Red38
176310.0
59186.6
180616.5
Blue28
20017.7
297218.2
176914.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323902060801003828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#28
16.50.1
14.514.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
blue by 1.8
2972
#20
18.20.8
14.413.6
Auto9.9
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Second
1763
#29
10.00.1
8.68.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End0.6
blue by 4.6
1769
#17
14.60.8
11.610.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Third
5918
#42
6.60.2
6.56.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.3
End-0.2
blue by 1.1
2001
#39
7.71.3
8.06.7
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed