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Red86
495914.3
421315.0
198738.9
Blue57
509816.6
173034.5
184714.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62572040801001208657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.1
34.536.6
Auto16.2
Teleop18.6
End4.0
red by 4.4
34.50.3
30.731.0
Auto11.7
Teleop19.3
End3.4
Second
4213
#15
15.02.1
11.413.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 1.5
5098
#11
16.60.3
10.310.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Third
4959
#22
14.32.1
9.311.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 0.2
1847
#33
14.10.3
11.011.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned