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Red18
234515.8
96268.9
93169.1
Blue27
9378.0
512620.9
193917.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464102060801001827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2345
#27
15.81.6
15.313.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5126
#30
20.90.7
16.515.9
Auto9.0
Teleop11.8
End0.1
Second
9316
#36
9.12.7
12.59.7
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End0.2
blue by 8.4
1939
#16
17.50.7
11.410.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
9626
#38
8.92.7
13.010.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End0.8
red by 0.9
937
#25
8.00.7
9.48.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed