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Red43
180211.6
177512.2
182519.0
Blue66
68438.2
545420.1
476633.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3564020801001201404366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#14
19.00.8
14.215.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 14.5
33.50.8
28.028.8
Auto14.4
Teleop17.2
End1.8
Second
1775
#35
12.20.5
12.312.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End0.8
blue by 7.9
5454
#19
20.10.8
17.418.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
Third
1802
#41
11.60.8
8.99.8
Auto6.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 3.5
6843
#31
8.21.3
9.110.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed