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Red30
81123.3
44557.6
941026.1
Blue53
181015.4
199715.8
176310.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383102060801001203053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.3
18.318.0
Auto11.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
red by 10.3
1997
#21
15.81.6
9.711.3
Auto8.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
Second
4455
#34
7.60.3
9.89.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
blue by 7.7
1810
#23
15.42.7
11.013.6
Auto9.7
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Third
8112
#40
3.30.4
5.85.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.6
End0.2
blue by 6.7
1763
#29
10.01.6
8.510.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed