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Red86
173034.5
182519.0
110829.1
Blue80
198738.9
180616.5
44557.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846420401001201408680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.9
30.431.3
Auto11.7
Teleop19.3
End3.4
blue by 4.4
38.91.0
36.037.0
Auto16.2
Teleop18.6
End4.0
Second
29.10.9
27.728.6
Auto10.2
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 12.6
1806
#28
16.51.0
14.515.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
1825
#14
19.01.4
15.116.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 11.3
4455
#34
7.61.0
9.510.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed